Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
5.16
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
11%
6.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-9.4pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -28%
2.13/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.80
+23% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.6 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.82 xG 1.11
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
01.10.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
05.05.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-2 HT 3-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
25.03.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAELK
02.11.2021 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
14.02.2021 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wasl Dubai squeezed past Al Nasr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Wasl Dubai as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wasl Dubai had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 1.00 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Nasr?

Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 Al Nasr in the UAE - League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 44%, draw 29%, Al Nasr 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✗ Over 2.5
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