East Bengal 0-1 Mumbai City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 13 Feb 2024

East Bengal
0-1 HT 0-1
Mumbai City
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
India - Super League – 2023/2024

East Bengal vs Mumbai City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.57
6+ Goals
9%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 29% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

East Bengal v Mumbai City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Bengal EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 56%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.95/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.31
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 76%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.3
15.3 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

East Bengal vs Mumbai City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Bengal
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mumbai City
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.69 xG 1.36
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
219 Passes 398
68% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
19.02.2023 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-1 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
16.12.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 0-3 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
22.02.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 1-0 HT 0-0 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
07.01.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
22.01.2021 East Bengal East Bengal 0-1 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL

East Bengal 0-1 Mumbai City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Bengal
0-1
AWAY Mumbai City
0.16 xG 1.02
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
175 Passes 473
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH East Bengal vs Mumbai City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City edged past East Bengal 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, East Bengal had 33% of the ball to Mumbai City's 67%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.16 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for East Bengal and 0.83 for Mumbai City.

What was the final score of East Bengal vs Mumbai City?

East Bengal 0-1 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Bengal vs Mumbai City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split East Bengal 26%, draw 27%, Mumbai City 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mumbai City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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