Bristol City U21 1-2 Cardiff City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.14
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.3pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.5pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 17%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
4.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/3.99
+64% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -48%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cardiff City U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
07.11.2023 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Bristol City U21 vs Cardiff City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 edged past Bristol City U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bristol City U21 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Bristol City U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Bristol City U21 1-2 Cardiff City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City U21 vs Cardiff City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Bristol City U21 56%, draw 21%, Cardiff City U21 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bristol City U21), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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