Loughgall FC 0-0 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
20%
4.25
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.94
6+ Goals
8%
8.94
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.25 — our 20% vs market 18.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.44
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
22%
4.39
X/2
11%
7.75
X/X
10%
5.52
2/1
9%
21.6
2/2
8%
5.34
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
50%
+5.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 29%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
4.01/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.99
+150% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Loughgall FC
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Newry City AFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 3-1 HT 0-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
05.08.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-3 HT 0-3 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL
15.03.2022 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL1
09.10.2021 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Loughgall FC
0-0
AWAY Newry City AFC
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Loughgall FC vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Loughgall FC and Newry City AFC fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Loughgall FC at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Loughgall FC had 50% of the ball to Newry City AFC's 50%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Loughgall FC and 0.50 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Loughgall FC vs Newry City AFC?

Loughgall FC 0-0 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Loughgall FC vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Loughgall FC 56%, draw 22%, Newry City AFC 22%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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