Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Feb 2024

Deportivo Pasto
0-1 HT 0-1
Envigado
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Deportivo Pasto vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.3pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pasto v Envigado — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.21/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.29
+5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.3
18.2 Crosses 12.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1

Deportivo Pasto vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Envigado
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.14 xG 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
264 Passes 296
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
14.07.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 4-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
26.01.2022 Envigado Envigado 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
23.08.2021 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-2 HT 0-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
24.01.2021 Envigado Envigado 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
22.02.2020 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL

Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
0-1
AWAY Envigado
1.32 xG 1.03
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
393 Passes 225
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 7
22 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pasto 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 61% of the ball to Envigado's 39%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.32 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.67 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Envigado?

Deportivo Pasto 0-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 47%, draw 29%, Envigado 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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