13/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Al Najma vs Al Taraji Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
24%
Draw
26%
33%
Away Win
23%
55%
Under 2.5
53%
45%
Over 2.5
47%
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
51%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Najma v Al Taraji — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Najma
EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Taraji
EU Bookmakers 26%
-63% /
-63%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-7%
0.97/2.46
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.02/1.79
-33%
/
-65%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+8%
/
-33%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
11
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
406 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
248 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
Al Najma vs Al Taraji Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Najma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Taraji
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
44%
Ball Possession
56%
9
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
9
3
Corners
3
4
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
01.09.2023
Al Taraji
3-2
HT 0-2
Al Najma
SUUD1
3-2
HT 0-2
Al Najma
SUUD1
POST-MATCH
Al Najma vs Al Taraji
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Najma nicked a narrow win over Al Taraji 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Najma as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al Taraji?
Al Najma 1-0 Al Taraji in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al Taraji?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 44%, draw 24%, Al Taraji 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Al Najma)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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SUUD1
More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
13 Feb 2024