13/02/2024
·
15:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Al-Noor vs Al-Sadd Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
32%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
42%
Home Win
49%
35%
Draw
25%
24%
Away Win
26%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Noor v Al-Sadd — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al-Noor
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Sadd
The Market 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-7%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+134%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
334 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
276 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al-Noor vs Al-Sadd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al-Noor and Al-Sadd couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Al-Noor at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Al-Noor vs Al-Sadd?
Al-Noor 1-1 Al-Sadd in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Noor vs Al-Sadd?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Noor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al-Noor 42%, draw 35%, Al-Sadd 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al-Noor) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al-Noor)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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