UPDF 2-2 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Feb 2024

UPDF
2-2 HT 1-0
NEC
📅13/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
Uganda - Premier League – 2023/2024

UPDF vs NEC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
55%
-9.3pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.4pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UPDF v NEC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UPDF EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 27%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.52
-16% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +148%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

UPDF 2-2 NEC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UPDF
2-2
AWAY NEC
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
POST-MATCH UPDF vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UPDF and NEC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was UPDF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, UPDF had 52% of the ball to NEC's 48%, shots finished 7-9.

What was the final score of UPDF vs NEC?

UPDF 2-2 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UPDF vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated a UPDF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split UPDF 46%, draw 28%, NEC 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UPDF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UPDF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →