Al Karkh 1-0 Naft Al-Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
Over 2.5
35%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+89% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Naft Al-Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh nicked a narrow win over Naft Al-Basra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Karkh as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Naft Al-Basra?

Al Karkh 1-0 Naft Al-Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Naft Al-Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 41%, draw 28%, Naft Al-Basra 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Karkh), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Karkh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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