Cardiff MU 1-1 Llanelli Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
72%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.21
Over
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.19
2-3
39%
1.85
4-5
22%
2.85
6+
15%
8.36
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.19 — our 24% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
56%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Cardiff MU The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Llanelli Town The Market 12%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.13 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.59
1.13 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 3.24
Weak Attackvs comparable teams Bad
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff MU
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Llanelli Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
05.12.2025 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU 2-1 HT 0-1 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town GAL
07.10.2025 Llanelli Town Llanelli Town 1-3 HT 1-0 Cardiff MU Cardiff MU GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cardiff MU
1-1
AWAY Llanelli Town
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Cardiff MU vs Llanelli Town
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cardiff MU and Llanelli Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

File this under upsets: a 72% lean on Cardiff MU went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The market had leaned harder still (1.28, ~78%); nobody's numbers saw this one coming. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (57%) never looked like landing.

The match data tells the story: Cardiff MU had 60% of the ball to Llanelli Town's 40%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cardiff MU had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cardiff MU and 1.00 for Llanelli Town.

Cardiff MU vs Llanelli Town Result & Final Score

Cardiff MU 1-1 Llanelli Town in the Wales - Premier League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Cardiff MU vs Llanelli Town Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff MU win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Cardiff MU 72%, draw 18%, Llanelli Town 10%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cardiff MU) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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