Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Fajr Sepasi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 13 Feb 2026

📅13/02/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.47
Draw
41%
2.94
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.99
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.05
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-8.4pp
41%
Draw
30%
+10.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.7pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.2pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.87/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.66
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -50%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
230 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Fajr Sepasi
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
31.01.2023 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRANAZ
07.09.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
23.02.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 HT 0-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRAN
05.11.2021 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Fajr Sepasi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan edged past Fajr Sepasi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.50 for Fajr Sepasi.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Fajr Sepasi?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0 Fajr Sepasi in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Fajr Sepasi?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 28%, draw 41%, Fajr Sepasi 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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