Mtibwa Sugar 1-3 Mashujaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi, 13 Feb 2026

Mtibwa Sugar
1-3
Mashujaa
📅13/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi – 2026

Mtibwa Sugar vs Mashujaa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.52
Over 2.5
50%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.4
No
50%
1.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
57%
-23.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
33%
Away Win
17%
+16.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
38%
+12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
62%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mtibwa Sugar v Mashujaa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mtibwa Sugar EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mashujaa EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
0.99/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.01
-22% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Mtibwa Sugar vs Mashujaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mashujaa beat Mtibwa Sugar 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Mashujaa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Mtibwa Sugar vs Mashujaa?

Mtibwa Sugar 1-3 Mashujaa in the Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi on 13/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mtibwa Sugar vs Mashujaa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mtibwa Sugar win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Mtibwa Sugar 33%, draw 33%, Mashujaa 33%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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