Europa 3-3 Valencia II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.56
Over
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
41%
4-5
18%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Europa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Valencia II EU Bookmakers 29%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
2.19/0.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.87
+76% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Europa
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Valencia II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.10.2023 Valencia II Valencia II 0-0 HT 0-0 Europa Europa İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Europa
3-3
AWAY Valencia II
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Europa vs Valencia II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa and Valencia II couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Europa at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Europa had 61% of the ball to Valencia II's 39%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Europa vs Valencia II?

Europa 3-3 Valencia II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Europa vs Valencia II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Europa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Europa 44%, draw 26%, Valencia II 29%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Europa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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