Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 Shandong Taishan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 13 Mar 2024

Yokohama F. Marinos
1-0 HT 0-0
Shandong Taishan
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
AFC Sampiyonlar League – 2023/2024

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shandong Taishan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.79
2-3 Goals
35%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.61
6+ Goals
14%
6.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.98
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.35
X/1 EV+ ✓
25%
4.24
X/2
8%
10.7
X/X
8%
6.59
2/1
6%
19.6
2/2
9%
7.01
2/X
7%
14.7
Value flag · X/1 at 4.24 — our 25% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.4pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Yokohama F. Marinos v Shandong Taishan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.30/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.49
+16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
35.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
33.8 Crosses 20.6
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shandong Taishan Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Shandong Taishan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.97 xG 1.07
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
436 Passes 220
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.03.2024 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 1-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP
13.12.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 3-0 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan AŞMP
03.10.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 0-1 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos AŞMP

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 Shandong Taishan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yokohama F. Marinos
1-0
AWAY Shandong Taishan
0.75 xG 1.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 23
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
286 Passes 331
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shandong Taishan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos nicked a narrow win over Shandong Taishan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yokohama F. Marinos had 47% of the ball to Shandong Taishan's 53%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 0.75 to 1.56 — on chances, Shandong Taishan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.33 for Shandong Taishan.

What was the final score of Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shandong Taishan?

Yokohama F. Marinos 1-0 Shandong Taishan in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shandong Taishan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Yokohama F. Marinos 57%, draw 23%, Shandong Taishan 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✗ Over 2.5
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