SV Hermersberg 1-1 Schott Mainz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional Cup, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
Over Pick
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Hermersberg The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Schott Mainz The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH SV Hermersberg vs Schott Mainz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SV Hermersberg and Schott Mainz couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was SV Hermersberg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

What was the final score of SV Hermersberg vs Schott Mainz?

SV Hermersberg 1-1 Schott Mainz in the Germany - Regional Cup on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Hermersberg vs Schott Mainz?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Hermersberg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split SV Hermersberg 44%, draw 25%, Schott Mainz 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SV Hermersberg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Hermersberg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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