W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 Canberra United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.61
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.5pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.55/2.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.68
-23% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.0
25.0 Crosses 21.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Canberra United (K)
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.24 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
256 Passes 217
73% Pass Accuracy 66%
27 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
26.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
07.12.2018 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 2-2 HT 0-0 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
4-1
AWAY Canberra United (K)
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 13
14 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) cruised past Canberra United (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had W. Sydney Wanderers (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 51% of the ball to Canberra United (K)'s 49%, shots finished 21-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.00 for Canberra United (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 Canberra United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Canberra United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a W. Sydney Wanderers (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 46%, draw 22%, Canberra United (K) 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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