Emirates 2-1 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.83
2-3 Goals
34%
2.05
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
15%
5.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.7pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emirates EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 46%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.14/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.59
-82% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +57%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.0 Crosses 23.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emirates
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Khorfakkan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.82 xG 0.76
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
173 Passes 317
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-2 HT 0-0 Emirates Emirates BAE
11.03.2022 Emirates Emirates 2-1 HT 1-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
29.09.2021 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 2-1 HT 1-1 Emirates Emirates BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emirates
2-1
AWAY Khorfakkan
2.32 xG 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
321 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Emirates vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Emirates edged past Khorfakkan 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Khorfakkan at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Emirates had 49% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 51%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.32 to 1.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Emirates had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Emirates and 1.00 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Emirates vs Khorfakkan?

Emirates 2-1 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emirates vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Khorfakkan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Emirates 32%, draw 22%, Khorfakkan 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Khorfakkan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Khorfakkan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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