University Of Pretoria 2-1 Swallows — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
41%
2.94
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.41
Over 2.5
39%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.33
No
51%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
1.97
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
18%
6.8
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
24%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
40%
Draw
30%
+10.1pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
39%
+10.3pp
51%
BTTS No
61%
-10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME University Of Pretoria EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Swallows EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.00/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.15
-30% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
20.0 Crosses 24.4
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME University Of Pretoria
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Swallows
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.11 xG 1.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
141 Passes 322
56% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2022 Swallows 1-0 HT 0-0 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria GAFK
04.06.2022 University Of Pretoria University Of Pretoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Swallows GAFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME University Of Pretoria
2-1
AWAY Swallows
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH University Of Pretoria vs Swallows
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

University Of Pretoria squeezed past Swallows 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 40% / 23% — and on the day University Of Pretoria made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, University Of Pretoria had 51% of the ball to Swallows's 49%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Swallows led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for University Of Pretoria and 0.50 for Swallows.

What was the final score of University Of Pretoria vs Swallows?

University Of Pretoria 2-1 Swallows in the South Afrika - Cup on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for University Of Pretoria vs Swallows?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split University Of Pretoria 36%, draw 40%, Swallows 23%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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