Kerala Blasters 3-4 ATK Mohun Bagan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 13 Mar 2024

Kerala Blasters
3-4 HT 0-1
ATK Mohun Bagan
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
45%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
8%
14.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 31% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+5.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerala Blasters v ATK Mohun Bagan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.16/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.09
+2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
16.2 Crosses 16.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerala Blasters
1W-1D-4L
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.13 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 268
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.12.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 0-1 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
18.02.2023 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
16.10.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-5 HT 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
19.02.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-2 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
19.11.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 4-2 HT 3-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
31.01.2021 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 HT 0-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL

Kerala Blasters 3-4 ATK Mohun Bagan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerala Blasters
3-4
AWAY ATK Mohun Bagan
0.59 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 2
350 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan edged past Kerala Blasters 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kerala Blasters had 52% of the ball to ATK Mohun Bagan's 48%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.59 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kerala Blasters and 2.67 for ATK Mohun Bagan.

What was the final score of Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Kerala Blasters 3-4 ATK Mohun Bagan in the India - Super League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerala Blasters vs ATK Mohun Bagan?

Before kick-off our model rated an ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kerala Blasters 28%, draw 27%, ATK Mohun Bagan 45%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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