Gefle vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gefle v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals
IK Sirius nicked a narrow win over Gefle 5-4 away from home. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Gefle at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Gefle vs IK Sirius?
Gefle 4-5 IK Sirius in the Friendlies on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gefle vs IK Sirius?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gefle 41%, draw 24%, IK Sirius 34%. The final score 4-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.