Birmingham City U21 3-1 Barnsley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 13 Mar 2024

Birmingham City U21
3-1 HT 1-0
Barnsley U21
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Professional Development League – 2023/2024

Birmingham City U21 vs Barnsley U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.59
Over 2.5
65%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
40%
+8.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
36%
-11.9pp
35%
Under 2.5
35%
+0.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
65%
-0.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.2pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Birmingham City U21 v Barnsley U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnsley U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.51
-44% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Birmingham City U21 vs Barnsley U21 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham City U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Barnsley U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
05.12.2023 Barnsley U21 Barnsley U21 1-2 HT 0-0 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs Barnsley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham City U21 got the better of Barnsley U21 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Birmingham City U21 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Barnsley U21?

Birmingham City U21 3-1 Barnsley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Barnsley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 49%, draw 27%, Barnsley U21 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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