Al Arabi 3-1 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.53
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
28%
2.65
6+ Goals
13%
6.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+2.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -12%
2.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.39
+23% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
388 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Nasar
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
23 Total Shots 12
13 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 Al Arabi Al Arabi 6-3 HT 3-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
02.11.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 3-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
13.12.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
25.08.2022 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
10.04.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
24.12.2021 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KUV
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi saw off Al Nasar 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasar led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Arabi and 2.00 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Al Arabi 3-1 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 55%, draw 25%, Al Nasar 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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