Universitario 1-0 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-13.8pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.6pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.0pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitario EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.72/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.13
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 69%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.2 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 1.02
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
321 Passes 274
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.10.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
03.06.2023 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
23.10.2021 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
19.10.2020 Universitario Universitario 3-2 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
24.11.2019 Universitario Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
07.06.2019 Cusco FC Cusco FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
1-0
AWAY Cusco FC
1.97 xG 0.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
24 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 0
404 Passes 308
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
43 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Universitario vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitario edged past Cusco FC 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Universitario had 56% of the ball to Cusco FC's 44%, shots finished 24-5, expected goals 1.97 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Universitario's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Universitario and 0.67 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of Universitario vs Cusco FC?

Universitario 1-0 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitario vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Universitario 60%, draw 26%, Cusco FC 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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