Korona Kielce 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 13 Mar 2024

Korona Kielce
0-2 HT 0-2
Rakow Czestochowa
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
44%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.65
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.85
X/1
10%
8.1
X/2
17%
4.14
X/X
14%
4.1
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.58
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
49%
-4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 53%
+10% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.44/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.86
+23% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
22.1 Crosses 19.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.61 xG 1.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
273 Passes 354
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
5 Box Touches 36
8 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
07.05.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
22.10.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-0 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
23.06.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
23.11.2019 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 3-0 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
20.07.2019 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-1 HT 0-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL

Korona Kielce 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
0-2
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.94 xG 0.99
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
284 Passes 254
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa got the better of Korona Kielce 2-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 54% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 46%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 0.94 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Korona Kielce and 0.50 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Korona Kielce 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 27%, draw 29%, Rakow Czestochowa 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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