Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 13 Mar 2024

Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0 HT 2-0
Dinamo Moscow
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2023/2024

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.42
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.5 — our 26% vs market 17.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.95
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.85
X/1
16%
3.88
X/2
6%
10.85
X/X
15%
6.29
2/1
10%
20.6
2/2
9%
7.89
2/X
7%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.9pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Dinamo Moscow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.46/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.94
-22% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 0.39
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
500 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.11.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
06.08.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-3 HT 1-2 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
22.04.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
15.03.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUSK
17.09.2022 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 0-2 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
12.12.2021 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Dinamo Moscow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
2-0
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg saw off Dinamo Moscow 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zenit St. Petersburg as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 52% of the ball to Dinamo Moscow's 48%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.17 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow?

Zenit St. Petersburg 2-0 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Cup on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 51%, draw 28%, Dinamo Moscow 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →