FK Partizan 0-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 13 Mar 2024

FK Partizan
0-1 HT 0-1
Napredak Krusevac
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Serbia - Super League – 2023/2024

FK Partizan vs Napredak Krusevac Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.2pp
18%
Draw
17%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.1pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FK Partizan v Napredak Krusevac — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
2.26/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.57
+11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / +22%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 72%
35.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
22.3 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

FK Partizan vs Napredak Krusevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.77 xG 0.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
358 Passes 226
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
45 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
05.02.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
20.10.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.05.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-3 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
13.03.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
03.10.2021 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP

FK Partizan 0-1 Napredak Krusevac — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
0-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
2.53 xG 0.82
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
406 Passes 231
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
48 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs Napredak Krusevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac squeezed past FK Partizan 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. FK Partizan carried 66% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Partizan had 62% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 38%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 2.53 to 0.82 — on chances, FK Partizan could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FK Partizan and 0.00 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs Napredak Krusevac?

FK Partizan 0-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 66%, draw 18%, Napredak Krusevac 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FK Partizan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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