Sydney 3-2 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 13 Mar 2025

📅13/03/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
9.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.72
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
10%
4.88
X/2
12%
7.21
X/X
13%
5.37
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
22.1
2/2
15%
4.97
2/X
6%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.1 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 458
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2025 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-2 HT 0-1 Sydney Sydney AFCŞL2
28.04.2022 Sydney Sydney 2-3 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors AŞMP
16.04.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-0 HT 0-0 Sydney Sydney AŞMP
25.06.2021 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AŞMP
25.11.2020 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AŞMP
04.03.2020 Sydney Sydney 2-2 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney
3-2
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.61 xG 1.54
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
314 Passes 357
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sydney vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney nicked a narrow win over Jeonbuk Motors 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Sydney had 47% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 53%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.61 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sydney and 1.33 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Sydney vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Sydney 3-2 Jeonbuk Motors in the AFCŞL2 on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sydney 41%, draw 24%, Jeonbuk Motors 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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