Zakho 2-1 Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 13 Mar 2025

Zakho
2-1 HT 1-1
Naft
📅13/03/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.53
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.0pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.1pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zakho EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft EU Bookmakers 19%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
6.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.36
+150% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Zakho vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zakho squeezed past Naft 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zakho as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Zakho vs Naft?

Zakho 2-1 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zakho vs Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zakho win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zakho 48%, draw 28%, Naft 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zakho) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zakho) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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