Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.95
Over 2.5
62%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.66
No
36%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
30%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
11.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.89
1/2
8%
24.35
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
12%
6.99
X/2
11%
4.99
X/X
13%
4.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
32.0
2/2
25%
2.9
2/X
6%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-9.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+9.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
56%
+8.0pp
36%
BTTS No
44%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 48%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.30/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/0.67
-47% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +149%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
27.5 Crosses 12.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
284 Passes 290
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 24
27 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-0 HT 0-0 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİNSL
11.05.2025 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-2 HT 0-2 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
4-1
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.09 xG 2.61
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
166 Passes 278
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns cruised past Dalian Zhixing 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dalian Zhixing at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 41% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 59%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.09 to 2.61 — on chances, Dalian Zhixing could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 1.00 for Dalian Zhixing.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Zhixing?

Wuhan Three Towns 4-1 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 32%, draw 25%, Dalian Zhixing 44%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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