Melbourne Knights 2-0 Melbourne Srbija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 13 Mar 2026

Melbourne Knights
2-0
Melbourne Srbija
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
AVPL1 – 2026

Melbourne Knights vs Melbourne Srbija Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
18%
4.08
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.5pp
18%
Draw
21%
-3.7pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne Knights v Melbourne Srbija — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 24%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-37% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Melbourne Srbija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Knights saw off Melbourne Srbija 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne Knights as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Melbourne Srbija?

Melbourne Knights 2-0 Melbourne Srbija in the AVPL1 on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Melbourne Srbija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 56%, draw 18%, Melbourne Srbija 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Knights) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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