Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Stade Malien Bamako — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 13 Mar 2026

Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0 HT 1-0
Stade Malien Bamako
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Champions League – 2025/2026

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stade Malien Bamako Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.22
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
11%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
3.34
No
54%
1.28
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
17.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.37
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
34.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
32%
3.26
X/2
4%
31.0
X/X
8%
6.4
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
4%
34.0
2/X
4%
34.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.26 — our 32% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
77%
-5.6pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.6pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+5.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
26%
+20.6pp
54%
BTTS No
74%
-20.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mamelodi Sundowns v Stade Malien Bamako — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 8%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.60/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.89
-15% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
442 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 76%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
15.0 Crosses 17.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Stade Malien Bamako — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3-0
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako
2.40 xG 0.53
79% Ball Possession 21%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
574 Passes 87
89% Pass Accuracy 53%
28 Box Touches 8
15 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stade Malien Bamako
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns ran out comfortable winners over Stade Malien Bamako 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 79% of the ball to Stade Malien Bamako's 21%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.40 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Stade Malien Bamako in the CAF Champions League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 72%, draw 18%, Stade Malien Bamako 11%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ BTTS No
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