Armagh City 1-1 Loughgall FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
11%
12.23
Draw
15%
7.78
Away
74%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.74
Over 2.5
63%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.83
2-3 Goals
40%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.42
6+ Goals
16%
5.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
2%
X/2
26%
X/X
3%
2/1
2%
2/2
40%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
11%
Home Win
5%
+6.3pp
15%
Draw
9%
+5.2pp
74%
Away Win
85%
-11.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
33%
+4.3pp
63%
Over 2.5
67%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Loughgall FC EU Bookmakers 91%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
0.50/2.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
-60% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -77% / +0%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
229 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 457 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Loughgall FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.12.2025 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
06.09.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 0-0 Loughgall FC Loughgall FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Loughgall FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Armagh City and Loughgall FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Loughgall FC at 74% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Loughgall FC led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Armagh City and 1.00 for Loughgall FC.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Loughgall FC?

Armagh City 1-1 Loughgall FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Loughgall FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Loughgall FC win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 11%, draw 15%, Loughgall FC 74%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Loughgall FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Loughgall FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →