Nacional U20 2-1 LDU Quito U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores U20, 13 Mar 2026

📅13/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.46
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+5.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.1pp
49%
Away Win
50%
-0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional U20 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito U20 EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
274 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional U20
2-1
AWAY LDU Quito U20
0.92 xG 0.92
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
173 Passes 316
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 42
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional U20 vs LDU Quito U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional U20 squeezed past LDU Quito U20 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito U20 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Nacional U20 had 38% of the ball to LDU Quito U20's 62%, shots finished 11-22, expected goals 0.92 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Nacional U20 vs LDU Quito U20?

Nacional U20 2-1 LDU Quito U20 in the Copa Libertadores U20 on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional U20 vs LDU Quito U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nacional U20 31%, draw 20%, LDU Quito U20 49%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Quito U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito U20) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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