FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction — Model Probabilities
FC Cajamarca v Comerciantes Unidos — Team-Based Signals
FC Cajamarca 3-4 Comerciantes Unidos — Actual Match Statistics
Comerciantes Unidos squeezed past FC Cajamarca 4-3 away from home. The 2-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
A gentle 51% lean on FC Cajamarca didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 47% for over 2.5, 50% on both teams scoring.
By the numbers, FC Cajamarca had 47% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 53%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.92 to 2.57 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Comerciantes Unidos's control.
FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos Result & Final Score
FC Cajamarca 3 - 4 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split FC Cajamarca 51%, draw 26%, Comerciantes Unidos 23%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.