União de Leiria U23 4-2 Vizela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Mar 2026

União de Leiria U23
4-2 HT 3-1
Vizela U23
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2025/2026

União de Leiria U23 vs Vizela U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
41%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+4.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.1pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

União de Leiria U23 v Vizela U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME União de Leiria U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.50/3.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/2.24
-2% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -38%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

União de Leiria U23 4-2 Vizela U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME União de Leiria U23
4-2
AWAY Vizela U23
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH União de Leiria U23 vs Vizela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

União de Leiria U23 beat Vizela U23 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Vizela U23 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, União de Leiria U23 had 37% of the ball to Vizela U23's 63%, shots finished 11-14.

What was the final score of União de Leiria U23 vs Vizela U23?

União de Leiria U23 4-2 Vizela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for União de Leiria U23 vs Vizela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vizela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split União de Leiria U23 31%, draw 28%, Vizela U23 41%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Vizela U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vizela U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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