Varbergs 2-0 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
9%
21.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.22
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.69
X/2
14%
6.22
X/X
13%
4.15
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.78
2/X
8%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varbergs EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +67%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
439 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varbergs
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Östersunds FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2023 Varbergs Varbergs 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇK
18.02.2017 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 2-1 HT 1-0 Varbergs Varbergs İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varbergs
2-0
AWAY Östersunds FK
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Varbergs vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varbergs beat Östersunds FK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Varbergs made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Varbergs had 42% of the ball to Östersunds FK's 58%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Varbergs and 1.00 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Varbergs vs Östersunds FK?

Varbergs 2-0 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varbergs vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Varbergs 38%, draw 27%, Östersunds FK 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Varbergs), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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