Milan U19 3-2 Empoli U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.81
No
40%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.4pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
2.00/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-19% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Empoli U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
72% Ball Possession 28%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
04.11.2023 Empoli U19 Empoli U19 2-1 HT 2-0 Milan U19 Milan U19 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U19
3-2
AWAY Empoli U19
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Milan U19 vs Empoli U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U19 edged past Empoli U19 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Milan U19 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Milan U19 had 57% of the ball to Empoli U19's 43%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Milan U19 vs Empoli U19?

Milan U19 3-2 Empoli U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U19 vs Empoli U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Milan U19 51%, draw 26%, Empoli U19 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Milan U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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