Sassuolo (K) 2-1 Inter Milano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.41 xG 1.01
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
269 Passes 322
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 1
14.01.2024 Inter Milano (K) Inter Milano (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
2-1
AWAY Inter Milano (K)
0.48 xG 1.88
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
236 Passes 381
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 34
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Inter Milano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassuolo (K) edged past Inter Milano (K) 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Sassuolo (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 41% of the ball to Inter Milano (K)'s 59%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.48 to 1.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Inter Milano (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 2-1 Inter Milano (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Inter Milano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 37%, draw 27%, Inter Milano (K) 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/27/37) ✗ Under 2.5
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