Portland Timbers 2-2 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.97
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.6
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.39
X/2
12%
5.38
X/X
14%
5.34
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.12
2/X
7%
12.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.6 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Timbers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -26%
1.55/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.37
+1% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
19.9 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Timbers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 Passes 383
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
05.03.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 3-2 HT 2-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
02.10.2022 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-2 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
11.05.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABDK
07.03.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
30.09.2021 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Timbers
2-2
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.37 xG 1.74
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 Passes 490
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 45
7 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Portland Timbers had 39% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 61%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.37 to 1.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Portland Timbers and 1.50 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC?

Portland Timbers 2-2 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Portland Timbers 35%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Los Angeles FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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