Freiburg (K) 1-4 Wolfsburg (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

Freiburg (K)
1-4 HT 0-3
Wolfsburg (K)
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 ✗ 2nd Score 0-5 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
9.57
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
64%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
20%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
27%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
7%
+14.2pp
14%
Draw
14%
+0.4pp
64%
Away Win
79%
-14.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Wolfsburg (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -43%
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 8
178 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 534 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.4
– Crosses 28.7
– Yellow Cards 1.3

Freiburg (K) 1-4 Wolfsburg (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
1-4
AWAY Wolfsburg (K)
1.56 xG 2.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 7
243 Passes 328
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 43
13 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsburg (K) ran out comfortable winners over Freiburg (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wolfsburg (K) as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 45% of the ball to Wolfsburg (K)'s 55%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 1.56 to 2.48.

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Freiburg (K) 1-4 Wolfsburg (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Wolfsburg (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wolfsburg (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 22%, draw 14%, Wolfsburg (K) 64%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wolfsburg (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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