13/04/2024
·
21:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Ried vs Bregenz Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
74%
23%
Draw
16%
16%
Away Win
10%
45%
Under 2.5
39%
55%
Over 2.5
61%
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
53%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ried v Bregenz — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ried
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bregenz
EU Bookmakers 12%
-3% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+24% /
+24%
3.28/0.60
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
+52%
/
+43%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+16%
/
+115%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
3
387 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
222 · 67%
21.1
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
23.2
Crosses
–
1.4
Yellow Cards
2.0
Ried vs Bregenz Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ried
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Bregenz
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
66%
Ball Possession
34%
9
Total Shots
4
2
Corners
3
The Meetings
23.09.2023
Bregenz
0-0
HT 0-0
Ried
AU2
0-0
HT 0-0
Ried
AU2
POST-MATCH
Ried vs Bregenz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ried swept aside Bregenz 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Ried as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Ried vs Bregenz?
Ried 5-0 Bregenz in the Austria - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ried vs Bregenz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Ried 61%, draw 23%, Bregenz 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ried), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Ried)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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