Middelfart 0-2 Aarhus Fremad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+5.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middelfart EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarhus Fremad EU Bookmakers 40%
-21% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.51/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.95
+17% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middelfart
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-2 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
04.08.2023 Middelfart Middelfart 1-1 HT 0-0 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
12.03.2022 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-0 HT 0-0 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
07.08.2021 Middelfart Middelfart 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
29.05.2021 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad 1-2 HT 1-1 Middelfart Middelfart DAN2
21.11.2020 Middelfart Middelfart 3-4 HT 1-3 Aarhus Fremad Aarhus Fremad DAN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middelfart
0-2
AWAY Aarhus Fremad
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarhus Fremad got the better of Middelfart 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aarhus Fremad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Middelfart had 52% of the ball to Aarhus Fremad's 48%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Middelfart and 1.50 for Aarhus Fremad.

What was the final score of Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad?

Middelfart 0-2 Aarhus Fremad in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middelfart vs Aarhus Fremad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarhus Fremad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Middelfart 35%, draw 22%, Aarhus Fremad 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarhus Fremad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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