Naesby 1-4 Frem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 13 Apr 2024

Naesby
1-4 HT 1-3
Frem
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2023/2024

Naesby vs Frem Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
51%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
51%
Away Win
52%
-0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naesby v Frem — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Frem EU Bookmakers 56%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.56/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.38
+30% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.7

Naesby vs Frem Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Frem
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Frem Frem 0-0 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
05.08.2023 Naesby Naesby 4-2 HT 2-1 Frem Frem DAN3
19.03.2022 Frem Frem 2-2 HT 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
24.04.2021 Frem Frem 1-1 HT 0-0 Naesby Naesby DAN2
24.10.2020 Naesby Naesby 1-4 HT 0-3 Frem Frem DAN2
10.10.2015 Naesby Naesby 0-3 HT 0-1 Frem Frem DAN2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Frem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frem swept aside Naesby 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Frem as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frem led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Naesby and 2.00 for Frem.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Frem?

Naesby 1-4 Frem in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Frem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Frem win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Naesby 27%, draw 23%, Frem 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frem), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Frem) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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