Mekelakeya 1-2 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
13%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.2pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.1pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 22%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.00/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.99
-36% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +46%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelakeya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.12.2023 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 0-1 HT 0-1 Mekelakeya Mekelakeya ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelakeya
1-2
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance nicked a narrow win over Mekelakeya 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mekelakeya had 58% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 42%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Mekelakeya 1-2 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelakeya vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mekelakeya 47%, draw 25%, Ethiopian Insurance 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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