Hassania Agadir 2-2 Mouloudia Oujda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 34% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-5.6pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hassania Agadir EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.30/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.91
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hassania Agadir
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
25.11.2023 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-0 HT 1-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
04.03.2023 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 2-0 HT 1-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
02.10.2022 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 1-1 HT 0-1 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
05.03.2022 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 0-0 HT 0-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
03.10.2021 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir 1-2 HT 0-2 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
24.07.2021 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-0 HT 0-0 Hassania Agadir Hassania Agadir FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hassania Agadir
2-2
AWAY Mouloudia Oujda
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Hassania Agadir vs Mouloudia Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hassania Agadir and Mouloudia Oujda couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hassania Agadir at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hassania Agadir had 52% of the ball to Mouloudia Oujda's 48%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mouloudia Oujda led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Hassania Agadir and 1.17 for Mouloudia Oujda.

What was the final score of Hassania Agadir vs Mouloudia Oujda?

Hassania Agadir 2-2 Mouloudia Oujda in the Morocco - League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hassania Agadir vs Mouloudia Oujda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hassania Agadir win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hassania Agadir 46%, draw 26%, Mouloudia Oujda 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hassania Agadir) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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