Dijon (K) 1-2 Le Havre (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.6
No
56%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+10.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.9pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dijon (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dijon (K)
1-2
AWAY Le Havre (K)
2.22 xG 0.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
265 Passes 365
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 17
26 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dijon (K) vs Le Havre (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) squeezed past Dijon (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Le Havre (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dijon (K) had 45% of the ball to Le Havre (K)'s 55%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 2.22 to 0.82 — on chances, Dijon (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Dijon (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Dijon (K) 1-2 Le Havre (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dijon (K) vs Le Havre (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Le Havre (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dijon (K) 35%, draw 24%, Le Havre (K) 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Le Havre (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Le Havre (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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