AmaZulu 2-4 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.51
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
13%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
44%
Away Win
44%
-0.4pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AmaZulu EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 48%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.64/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.92
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / +14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
11.0 Crosses 18.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AmaZulu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 1.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 AmaZulu AmaZulu 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
05.11.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 1-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
14.10.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-1 HT 1-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
06.02.2022 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAF8K
23.12.2021 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 2-1 HT 1-1 AmaZulu AmaZulu GAFPSL
08.12.2021 AmaZulu AmaZulu 1-1 HT 1-1 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AmaZulu
2-4
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.88 xG 2.16
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 3
178 Passes 364
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AmaZulu vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates got the better of AmaZulu 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Orlando Pirates as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AmaZulu had 38% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 62%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.88 to 2.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando Pirates led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AmaZulu and 1.00 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of AmaZulu vs Orlando Pirates?

AmaZulu 2-4 Orlando Pirates in the South Afrika - Cup on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AmaZulu vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando Pirates win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AmaZulu 27%, draw 29%, Orlando Pirates 44%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando Pirates) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando Pirates) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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