Hearts of Oak 3-1 Karela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Hearts of Oak
3-1 HT 1-1
Karela
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Gana - Premier League – 2023/2024

Hearts of Oak vs Karela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
19%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.36
Over 2.5
36%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.6
No
60%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
19%
Away Win
21%
-2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.9pp
60%
BTTS No
66%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts of Oak v Karela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts of Oak EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Karela EU Bookmakers 24%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.12
-100% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5

Hearts of Oak vs Karela Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts of Oak
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karela
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
22.01.2022 Karela 1-0 HT 0-0 Hearts of Oak Hearts of Oak GANA

Hearts of Oak 3-1 Karela — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts of Oak
3-1
AWAY Karela
57% Ball Possession 43%
26 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hearts of Oak vs Karela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts of Oak beat Karela 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hearts of Oak as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hearts of Oak had 57% of the ball to Karela's 43%, shots finished 26-8.

What was the final score of Hearts of Oak vs Karela?

Hearts of Oak 3-1 Karela in the Gana - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts of Oak vs Karela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts of Oak win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hearts of Oak 55%, draw 26%, Karela 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts of Oak) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts of Oak) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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