Jeju United 0-2 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
19.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.54
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
12%
5.08
X/2
12%
5.74
X/X
13%
4.19
2/1
11%
30.0
2/2
9%
4.2
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -20%
1.29/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.20
-9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
22.1 Crosses 16.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.61 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
432 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
05.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 4-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
08.05.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 3-1 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
14.04.2021 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
19.10.2019 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
23.09.2017 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 2-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
0-2
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
329 Passes 362
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu got the better of Jeju United 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Jeju United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jeju United had 46% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 54%, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Jeju United and 1.83 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Jeju United 0-2 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 43%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Jeju United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeju United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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