Municipal 1-0 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.2pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +3%
1.84/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.68
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
469 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 4.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Xinabajul
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
17.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.02.2023 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
27.11.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
18.09.2022 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
1-0
AWAY Xinabajul
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal edged past Xinabajul 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Municipal had 65% of the ball to Xinabajul's 35%, shots finished 21-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal and 0.20 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Xinabajul?

Municipal 1-0 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Municipal 55%, draw 24%, Xinabajul 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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